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Bueno de Mesquita shows the upside of mathematical modelling of social processes. He forgets that social network analysis overlaid on our communications data offers the same technique to the state but not to the people
State-wide database systems currently mooted as an antidote to terrorism will permit a lot to be known about how we are likely to behave. This use of mathematics for predicting outcomes will increase the power of the state to a level not seen since feudal times.
However, as a self-fulfilling prophecy it will enable to state to clamp down on terrorism and thus have the effect of fuelling terrorism through an over-controlled society and repression surrounding the terrorists’ communities.
The war-on-Iran has now passed through the deceit stage. The propaganda which led to the invasion of Iraq has been replicated over the past couple of years with Iran the target this time. The next step is to capitalise on the propaganda now that the US people have been softened up by the psyops communications specialists.
The special forces teams have been in Iran for years preparing the ground. We’ll soon see small provocative strikes against ‘terrorist training camps’ in Iran, the inevitable Iranian response to attacks on their sovereignty. Arab people in the region will become even more radicalised against the US, and Israel will sigh relief that the Americans are still behind them. Tactical nuclear strike is the subtext, the implicit violence that even the psychopaths in Washington or London would think very carefully about using – never use your biggest stick, just keep it handy as a threat otherwise you may provoke a retaliation you cannot handle.
Is this any way to run our public life? I am British but I feel no less a part of this Madness of Crowds than anyone in the US or Israel. Powerful western countries (i.e. US and Europe) are rogue states, and since our international laws are powerless to stop them it is time for the people of Europe and the US to stop these governments – by the ballot box, or else. Because the stakes are so high, because governments have already proceeded beyond the pale,. They have gone beyond national sovereignty, beyond the social contract, and so we’ll do the same. We’ll take to the streets, we’ll disempower them, unilaterally if necessary. Pre-emptive strikes are the rule they have written.
I completely missed this until it was pointed out to me. Tony Blair revealed his true colours and the media didn’t notice either:
“There is a tendency even now, even in some of our [US] own circles, to believe that they [THEM] are as they are [THEM] because we [US] have provoked them [!] and if we left them [!] alone they would leave us [!] alone. I fear this is mistaken. They [THEM] have no intention of leaving us [!] alone.” Tony Blair on ‘extremist Islamic ideology’
Separate the ingroup (US) from the outgroup (THEM) in order to set the scene for a fight. Someone in such a position of power and influence should not be using such language in these dangerous times. Satan’s spawn these politicians.
Tony Blair on ‘extremist Islamic ideology’.
“This ideology now has a state – Iran – [not Afghanistan this time, not Iraq either? I thought the late S.Hussein was your axis of evil] that is prepared to back and finance terror in the pursuit of destabilising countries [how do you know? what have you done to verify this?] whose people live to wish in peace.”
“There is a tendency even now, even in some of our own circles, to believe that they are as they are because we have provoked them and if we left them alone they would leave us alone.
“I fear this is mistaken. They have no intention of leaving us alone.”
The ‘extremist’ islamic ideology is just that, extremist. The main stream majority in Iran will not tolerate extreme conservative policy in the same way that the American people will not tolerate a lurch towards fascism. The real agenda however, is that Iran is a powerful and proud country that has its own oil. A country of true democracy and equality with all that oil would be extremely powerful at a time when other previously oil-rich states like the US are facing an uncertain future with declining oil supplies.
UK ex-Prime Minister Tony Blair has accused Iran of backing terrorism and warned the world faces a situation akin to “rising fascism in the 1920s”.
[Yes, kind of. Except that the rising fascism is being caused by Western governments.]
Mr Blair told a charity event in New York that Iran was prepared to destabilise peaceful countries. [Well, since the West has been trying to destabilise Iran for the best part of a century...]
This man is helping to set up the chess pieces for a war with Iran. These are the same moves he and George Bush made at each previous step in their ‘war on terror’. These political madmen are being allowed to conduct their own private experiments at controlling the oil necessary to power our states and keep them powerful. And yet this is occurring while the citizens of the world are trying to move to a more egalitarian, sustainable and ecologically balanced society of man.
The US calls their plan the Long War, or the Project for a New American Century. Its aim is:
“Our aim is to remind Americans of these lessons and to draw their consequences for today. Here are four consequences:
• we need to increase defense spending significantly if we are to carry out our global responsibilities today and modernize our armed forces for the future;
• we need to strengthen our ties to democratic allies and to challenge regimes hostile to our interests and values;
• we need to promote the cause of political and economic freedom abroad;
• we need to accept responsibility for America’s unique role in preserving and extending an international order friendly to our security, our prosperity, and our principles.
Such a Reaganite policy of military strength and moral clarity may not be fashionable today. But it is necessary if the United States is to build on the successes of this past century and to ensure our security and our greatness in the next.”
Some European countries (e.g. Britain) seem to have their eyes on similar foreign policies far into the future, with no prospect of a more egalitarian and ecologically balanced world. In fact these policies point to a harsh world of permanent warfare ahead. The alternative of switching to a powerdown is not on the horizon. Fascism is.
The current US administration seems shamelessly intent on crushing Iran in the same way that it has crushed Iraq, in pursuit of its own ends. Iran is a soveriegn state that doesn’t have a brutal dictator in charge, but the US has nuclear proliferation as its excuse this time.
Can you let the US government attack an otherwise peaceful country like Iran? Watch this Flash video Why isn’t the US government focusing with all good faith on peaceful diplomacy? If the US gets away with it again, then wherever you live on the planet your own peace and security will be threatened too because they simply won’t stop at dominating the Middle-East. Get on the Peace Train
Fool the press once, shame on you… fool them twice…
Perhaps time to really stand up for Iran in the face of Western fascism.
